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Informist, Saturday, Feb. 28, 2026

 

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--IMD: India Feb rainfall 81.3?low normal at 4.2 mm 
--CONTEXT: IMD details outlook for temperature, rains in Mar 
--IMD: Feb rainfall in central India 77.9?low normal at 1.7 mm 
--IMD: Feb rainfall in northwest India 86.8?low normal at 5.9 mm 
--IMD: Feb rainfall in south peninsula 6.3?low normal at 7.4 mm 
--IMD: Feb rainfall in east, northeast 91.4?low normal at 2.6 mm 
--IMD:See La Nina transition to neutral El Nino Southern Oscillation Feb-Apr 
--IMD: 60% chance of neutral El Nino-Southern Oscillation forming in Feb-Apr 
--IMD: See India Mar rainfall at 83-117% of long-period average 
--IMD: See below normal rain over parts of northwest, east central India in Mar 
--IMD: See below normal rain over northeast India in Mar 
--IMD: Above normal maximum temperature in most parts Mar-May 
--IMD: Increased heat wave days over most parts in Mar-May 
--IMD:Normal to below-normal maximum temperature over northwest India Mar-May 
--IMD:Normal to below-normal maximum temperatures over central India Mar-May 
--IMD:See normal to below-normal maximum temperatures over many parts in Mar 

 

MUMBAI – The India Meteorological Department has forecast above normal maximum temperatures in most parts of the country during Mar-May. Normal to below-normal maximum temperatures are expected over northwest and central India during the same time, the department said while detailing its outlook for rainfall and temperature on Saturday.

 

During the period, above-normal minimum temperatures are very likely over most parts of the country, the weather bureau said. However, normal to below normal minimum temperatures are likely over some parts of south Peninsular India and isolated regions of remaining parts of the country, it said.

 

In March, the department expects normal minimum temperatures over most parts of the country. But in some parts of northwest India, south peninsular region and along the east coast, normal to below normal minimum temperatures are likely to prevail during the month, it said.

 

Increased heat wave days are likely over most parts of India in Mar-May, the department said. Above-normal number of heat wave days are likely over most parts of east and east-central India, many parts of southeast Peninsula and some parts of the northwest and west-central India in Mar-May. Normal number of heat wave days is likely over the remaining parts of the country during the same period, IMD said.

 

Accordingly, the weather department advised state authorities and district administrations to ensure timely preparedness, including operational readiness of cooling shelters, adequate drinking water supply, and strengthened health surveillance.

 

The department has forecast normal to above-normal rainfall over many parts of the country. However, in parts of northwest and east central India and northeast India, the weather agency expects below normal showers, it said.

 

The rainfall during March is most likely to be normal, or 83-117% of the long-period average. The long-period average of rainfall over the country during March, based on data from 1971 to 2020, is about 29.9 millimetres.

 

In February, India received 81.3?low normal rainfall at 4.2 millimetres. In central India, rainfall was 77.9?low normal at 1.7 millimetres in February and in northwest India it was 86.8?low normal at 5.9 millimetres. Rainfall in south peninsula was 6.3?low normal at 7.4 millimetres in February, and it was 91.4?low normal at 2.6 millimetres in east and northeast India, the weather bureau said.

 

Currently, weak La Nina conditions are prevailing over the equatorial Pacific, with sea surface temperatures remaining below normal across much of the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. Forecasts from the Monsoon Mission Climate Forecast System, along with other climate models, indicate these conditions are expected to gradually weaken during the upcoming season, the weather bureau said. There is also a 60% chance of neutral El Nino-Southern Oscillation conditions forming in Feb-Apr, it said.  End

 

Reported by Taniva Singha Roy and Afra Abubacker

Edited by Tanima Banerjee

 

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