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Informist, Friday, Feb. 6, 2026

 

MUMBAI – Indian households' perception of current inflation rose in January, with price pressures seen increasing across all product groups, according to the Reserve Bank of India's inflation expectations survey released Friday. Households also expect higher price pressures over three-month and one-year periods, the survey found.

 

Households' median perception of current inflation rose 30 basis points from November to 6.9% in January. Their inflation expectations for the next three months and one year rose by 30 bps and 60 bps, respectively, the RBI said. The RBI conducted the survey from Jan. 2 to Jan. 11 across 19 major cities, with 6,079 respondents.

 

India's CPI inflation rose to a three-month high of 1.33% in December. The RBI Friday raised its forecast for inflation in 2025-26 (Apr-Mar) by 10 bps to 2.1%. Inflation is projected to rise to 4.2% by the September quarter. 

 

In another forward-looking survey, the RBI found consumer confidence in urban areas moderated in January, with the Current Situation Index easing to 98.1 from 98.4 in November. 

 

Urban consumer confidence for the year ahead also fell, mainly due to "lower expectations on general economic conditions, income and price level compared to the previous round", the RBI said. "After showing improvement for three consecutive rounds, households' current perception on economic situation worsened," the RBI said. The future outlook also declined by 3.6 points, though it remained in the optimistic zone.

 

Consumer confidence also eased in rural areas, with the Current Situation Index at 100.5 in January, lower than 100.8 in November. The one-year-ahead outlook has shown steady improvement since September 2024, remaining firmly in the optimistic territory, the RBI said.  End

 

Reported by Shubham Rana

Edited by Saji George Titus

 

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