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Bank Stocks Outlook

Nifty Bank seen consolidating next week; fresh cues eyed

This story was originally published at 22:20 IST on 12 December 2025
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Informist, Friday, Dec. 12, 2025


MUMBAI - The Nifty Bank index is expected to consolidate next week and trade in a narrow band after a sharp run-up over the past few months, including hitting a record high in early December. A lack of fresh positive cues for bank stocks may lead to some profit taking heading into the end of the year.

 

"Bank Nifty is witnessing a sideways consolidation with a clear bearish undertone. In Wednesday's session, the index slipped below its 20-day EMA (exponential moving average) for the first time in several sessions, while the RSI (relative strength index) continued to form lower tops in a bearish crossover, reinforcing weak sentiment," said Vatsal Bhuva, technical analyst at LKP Securities. "Only a reclaim of the 10-day EMA with a bullish RSI crossover would revive optimism."

 

However, there may be some tailwinds from the robust credit growth reported in the banking system, indicating lending activity remains strong after the government and Reserve Bank of India's stimulus measures. Data released Friday showed banks' loans as on Nov. 28 rose INR 1.56 trillion from the previous fortnight and grew 11.5% on year.

 

The index ended slightly lower this week despite rising Friday. It settled at 59777.20 Friday, having slid from an all-time high of 60117.30 points on Dec. 1. IDFC FIRST Bank and Kotak Mahindra Bank were the biggest gainers this week, while Punjab National Bank fell 3.2%, the laggard for the second straight week. Bank of Baroda and IndusInd Bank also fell 2.8% this week, dragging the index down.


TOP HEADLINES
* PNB Housing Finance appoints Ajai Kumar Shukla as MD, CEO from Thu for 5 yrs
* LIC's stake in Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone down at 7.34%
* IPO Alert: ICICI Pru AMC  raises INR 30.22 bln from anchor investors
* Bank of Baroda to buy 50% stake in Indian Digital Payments Intelligence Corp
* SBI to acquire 50% stake in Indian Digital Payment Intelligence Corp
* RBI issues amendments to CRR, SLR maintenance norms for urban coop banks
* Tax tribunal grants relief to Aditya Birla Capital in arm's tax demand case
* Data Alert: Banks' loans up 11.5% YoY as of Nov 28, deposits up 10.2% YoY
* Can't deny doctors insurance on lack of specific govt order for COVID svc: SC
* RBI issues amendments on maintaining cash credit, current, overdraft accts
* NCLT admits Canara Bank's insolvency plea against Krishna Showbiz Services
* Emkay Global sees Nifty 50 hit 29000 in 2026, stock valuations elevated
* NCLAT stays insolvency proceedings against Embassy Developments
* Open-ended equity inflows up at INR 299 bln Nov post 3 mos of decline - AMFI
* RBI OKs up to 9.99% aggregate stake buy by 1729 Cap in Suryoday Small Fin Bk
* SAT upholds IRDAI order transferring Sahara India Life ops to SBI Life
* Jio Fincl, Blackrock invest INR 2.3 bln each in AMC, investment advisers JVs
* Central Bank of India ties up with Bandhan AMC to offer mutual fund products
* ESAF Small Fin Bank board OKs sale of up to INR-17-bln NPA pool to ARC
* LIC gets GST demand order of INR 23.7 bln from Maharashtra
* Secured creditor can't get balance pay from buyer if moratorium in force: HC
* Kotak Sec sees Nifty 50 at 29120 pts by Dec 2026; BFSI, IT among top picks
* RESEARCH: BIS paper says gold in bubble territory, may see sharp correction
* Gold to stay 'higher-for-longer', may scale to $5,000/oz in 2026 - Kotak Sec
* India Ratings affirms IDFC FIRST Bk's INR-179-bln worth debt instruments AA+
* India Ratings ups Can Fin Homes' long-term issuer rating to AAA from AA+
* CreditAccess Grameen board OKs raising up to INR 15 bln via debt
* AU Small Finance Bank gets fin min nod to up its FDI limit to 74% from 49%
* Nuvama Wealth Management incorporates wholly owned arm Nuvama Trusteeship Co
* RBI Governor meets MD, CEOs of banks Tue; discusses tech, cost reduction
* NCLT admits Canara Bank's insolvency plea against Embassy Developments
* CCI OKs Avenir Investment's acquisition of certain stake in Sammaan Capital
* Authum Investment allots preference shares worth INR 3 bln to promoter
* Banks' gross NPAs fall to INR 4.18 tln as of Sept. 30 from INR 8.35 tln FY21
* New reporting dates under Banking Laws Amendment Act to take effect from Mon
* PRESS: Value of digital gold purchases via UPI falls month on month in Nov
* SEBI releases AIF norms for accredited investor schemes, large value funds
* Authum Investment allots preference shares worth INR 9 bln to promoter
* Temasek arm MacRitche buys 6.47% stake in PB Fintech
* IIFL Finance's board to Thu mull issuing NCDs on private placement basis
* Top, worst performing schemes in MF categories in week ended Dec 5
* Average returns of all mutual fund categories in week ended Dec 5
* Nuvama Wealth sets Dec 26 as record date for 5-for-1 stock split
* ICICI Bk to buy 2% extra stake in ICICI Pru AMC to ensure majority holding
* IPO Alert: Gaja Alternative files updated DRHP for INR-6.56-bln issue
* Global gold ETFs saw $5.2 bln inflows Nov, Asia led with $3.2 bln, says WGC
* Invested INR 2.5 tln from national pension plan AUM in infra sector - Govt
* Data Alert: Life insurers' 1st year premium income rises 23% YoY in Nov
* IIFCL gets $500-mln overseas loan, secures lowest rate for 15-year tenure
* Can Fin Homes board to meet Dec 15 to mull interim dividend for FY26
* Traders face problem in Sensex F&O contracts, BSE says issue resolved now
* CreditAccess Grameen board to meet Wed to mull raising funds via bonds
* IPO Alert: ICICI Pru AMC sets price band at INR 2,061-INR 2,165/shr
* IPO Alert: ICICI Pru AMC files paper for 49-mln-shr OFS; offer to open Fri
* Angel One sees no services disruption due to Cloudfare outage
* Compilation of stories on RBI monetary policy
* Data Alert: Gross premium of non-life insurance cos rises 24% YoY in Nov
* RBI fines J&K Bank INR 9.93 mln for breaching customer service norms
* RBI grants approval to Fino Payments Bank to become small finance bank
* Parag Sharma takes over as MD, CEO of Shriram Finance
* SC stays HC summons to BYJU's parent resolution officer in contempt case
* RBI Policy: Focus on expanding use of central bank digital currency: Sankar
* RBI Policy: Governor says we do not target any particular credit growth rate


Following are the resistance and support levels for the sector's key stocks for next week, as per calculations based on their prices on the National Stock Exchange:

 

CompanyPriceWeek-on-Week
Change in %
ResistanceSupport
AU Small Finance Bank968.050.80983.90955.50
Axis Bank 1,286.100.301,298.101271.90
Bank of Baroda284.45(-)2.80288.40280.60
Canara Bank146.63(-)1.40148.80144.60
Federal Bank261.350.80265.30258.00
HDFC Bank1,001.50(-)0.201,008.00995.00
ICICI Bank1,366.00(-)1.901,374.101359.30
IDFC FIRST Bank82.291.8084.1079.70
IndusInd Bank846.15(-)2.80857.70833.30
Kotak Mahindra Bank2,176.601.002,210.402157.80
Punjab National Bank117.81(-)3.20118.90116.30
State Bank of India963.15(-)0.90971.70953.70
     
Nifty Bank59389.95(-)0.7059707.7059066.00
Nifty 5026046.95(-)0.5026133.5025895.20
S&P BSE Sensex85267.66(-)0.5085545.8084817.70


End


Reported by Aaryan Khanna

Edited by Tanima Banerjee


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