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Informist, Wednesday, Sept. 9, 2026

MUMBAI – A low pressure area is likely to form over northeast Bay of Bengal Thursday, under the influence of a cyclonic circulation lying over the same region, private weather forecasting agency Skymet said. The low pressure area is likely to be active for five days, bringing intense rainfall to Madhya Pradesh and some parts of Delhi, east Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Telangana, and Gujarat. This weather system is likely to be the last monsoon system to form before the commencement of withdrawal from extreme west India, the weather agency said.

After its formation over the Bay of Bengal Thursday, the low pressure area is expected to move inland partially on Friday and completely on Saturday, the weather agency said. The system will be active for about five days, during which it will move from the eastern to central parts of the country.

Currently, the remnants of the previous low pressure area are lying over the foothills of central and east Uttar Pradesh. It is likely to break up over the rough terrain and may be seen as a feeble east-west trough along the foothills of east Uttar Pradesh and Bihar in the next 48 hours. 

The formation of the low pressure area and its further westward movement will cause intense rainfall over west Madhya Pradesh, the Indo-Gangetic Plains, Delhi, the periphery of east Rajasthan, Vidarbha, Marathwada, north Telangana and some parts of Gujarat, the agency said. The core weather activity will cover the entire state of Madhya Pradesh in a staggered manner. The interior parts of Maharashtra, which have been subject to a prolonged dry spell, are likely to find some relief, while parting monsoon showers will also cover the eastern parts of Rajasthan for the same duration.

This low pressure area is likely to be the last major weather system to form during monsoon, before withdrawal begins. Though the bordering regions of Rajasthan, such as Jaisalmer, Barmer, Phalodi, and Jodhpur have not received rainfall since mid-August, a wet spell over west Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan is restricting the monsoon retreat.

The low pressure area is likely to weaken between Sept. 15–16, reducing the intensity and spread of rainfall. Monsoon withdrawal could begin a couple of days after rains reduce, the weather agency said. The normal date of monsoon withdrawal, which begins from the extreme western parts of Rajasthan, is Sept. 17. Last year, monsoon began retreating on Sept. 14, and withdrew from the country completely by mid-October.  End

Reported by Shreya Shetty

Edited by Akul Nishant Akhoury

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