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Informist, Tuesday, Jul. 14, 2026

MUMBAI – After Mumbai recorded torrential rainfall in the first few days of July, the intensity and spread of showers have weakened significantly. The absence of active weather systems is keeping monsoon suppressed over the city and suburbs, and the return of significant rainfall is unlikely until at least mid-next week, private weather forecasting agency Skymet said.

Mumbai recorded intense showers in the first week of July, with weather stations in the city recording 1,140.4 millimetres of rainfall, markedly higher than July's normal of 919.9 millimetres, the weather agency said. After this deluge, rainfall activity has reduced significantly over Mumbai, with little to no precipitation recorded in the last four days. 

Typically, there are two primary triggers for monsoon rainfall over Mumbai--the offshore north-south trough which runs along the Western Ghats, and the weather systems which develop over the Bay of Bengal, the weather agency said. Currently, both these systems are nearly dormant, the agency said. The westerly monsoon flow across the Arabian Sea, which converges along the Konkan Coast, is also weak and unlikely to strengthen soon, it said.

A revival in monsoon showers is unlikely over Mumbai in the next 10 days, or even longer, and the city is expected to continue experiencing warm and sultry weather, the weather agency said. A persistent sea breeze, which strengthens during the daytime, will continue to keep temperatures from rising steeply, the agency said. Maximum temperatures are likely to remain between 30 and 35 degrees Celsius, while minimum temperatures will stay around 25 degrees Celsius.

Rainfall over Mumbai is expected to revive once a fresh weather system develops over the Bay of Bengal, the weather agency said. The earliest indications of such a development are not expected before the middle of the next week. "Such a prolonged dry spell during the monsoon season is rather unusual for Mumbai and may once again raise concerns over the recharge of water bodies, similar to the situation observed toward the end of June," the agency said.  End

Reported by Shreya Shetty

Edited by Akul Nishant Akhoury

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