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EquityWireFMCG Stocks Outlook: Downtrend to continue; Union Budget to lend cues
FMCG Stocks Outlook

Downtrend to continue; Union Budget to lend cues

This story was originally published at 18:38 IST on 30 January 2026
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Informist, Friday, Jan. 30, 2026

 

MUMBAI – Shares of fast-moving consumer goods companies are expected to continue their downward trend after falling for the fifth straight week. However, analysts expect a reversal in this trend after the Union Budget for 2026-27 (Apr-Mar). Any positive trigger from the Budget is expected to help stocks in the sector to recover in the short term, analysts said.

 

Although the Nifty FMCG index rose over 1% Friday to end at 51215.20 points, it fell on a weekly basis, logging losses up to 0.9%. Over the last five weeks, the index fell over 7%. The immediate support for the index is pegged at 50500 points, while resistance is seen at 52300 points, according to Vatsal Bhuva, a technical and derivatives analyst at LKP Securities.

 

Despite the cut in goods and services tax being viewed as a major boost for consumption and seen as a positive for the sector, the Nifty FMCG index fell over 10% since the announcement of GST cuts in September. At the same time, the Nifty 50 index has risen just 2% during the same period. The benchmark index closed 0.4% lower at 25320.65 points, with the index closing in the green on a weekly basis.

 

Analysts believe the Nifty FMCG index is at an oversold position and may revert with short-term gains after the Union Budget. "The FMCG index has entered a downtrend after a clear breakdown and is currently placed at a crucial level marked in February, which earlier acted as a reversal zone and triggered an impulsive move," Bhuva of LKP Securities said. "Any positive trigger from the Union Budget could lead to a short-term recovery or rebound. However, given the weak chart structure, such a move should be treated as a pullback within the broader downtrend," he said.  

 

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* Earnings Review: Colgate-Palmolive Q3 PAT up after falling 4 straight qtrs
* Gillette India Oct-Dec PAT rises 36.9% YoY to INR 1.72 billion
* Earnings Outlook: Nestle Q3 sales seen up on GST cut but PAT to rise slower
* United Breweries launches Kingfisher premium beer in Karnataka
* Analyst Concall:Marico plans price cut in coming mos as copra prices correct
* CRISIL withdraws rating on Crompton Greaves' NCDs worth INR 3 bln
* Analyst Concall:Tata Consumer eyes closing Q4 with EBITDA margin of 14.5-15%
* Bikaji Foods Oct-Dec consol PAT doubles on year to nearly INR 622 million
* Earnings Review:Tata Consumer PAT up 38% YoY on strong volume, but slips QoQ
* Earnings Review: Marico Q3 PAT up 12% on year, in line with Street view
* AWL Agri Business arm files application to strike name from RoC
* Earnings Outlook: Marico Oct-Dec consol PAT seen rising on lower input cost
* Earnings Outlook: Colgate-Palmolive Q3 PAT seen down as volumes fall
* Marico to acquire '4700BC' parent Zea Maize for INR 2.27 bln from PVR INOX
* IFB Industries Oct-Dec consol PAT falls 23% YoY to INR 239.4 million
* Earnings Outlook: Tata Consumer Q3 PAT seen sharply up YoY on margin gain
* Analyst Concall: Godrej Consumer sees India volumes growing at 7-8% in 2 yrs
* Earnings Review: Godrej Consumer Q3 PAT, revenue miss estimates

 

Following are the resistance and support levels for key FMCG stocks for next week as per calculations based on their prices on the National Stock Exchange:

 

Company Price Week-on-week
 change in % 
Resistance Support
AWL Agri Business 213.97 2.40 220.30 204.70
Britannia Industries  5860.50 0.40 5996.50 5642.50
Colgate Palmolive India  2114.20 (-)2.40 2185.10 1993.90
Dabur India  506.60 (-)2.40 527.80 490.70
Emami  483.80 (-)4.10 494.40 472.70
Godrej Consumer Products  1154.10 (-)7.00 1180.40 1133.40
Hindustan Unilever  2373.00 (-)1.50 2411.00 2321.00
ITC  322.15 (-)0.40 330.00 312.60
Jyothy Labs  248.70 (-)0.20 254.90 239.80
Marico  729.80 (-)1.50 743.90 712.00
Nestle India  1332.40 3.00 1374.90 1261.70
Procter & Gamble Hygiene and Health Care  11766.00 (-)3.20 12363.30 11313.30
Tata Consumer Products 1133.90 (-)1.70 1163.10 1085.50
Varun Beverages  471.25 (-)0.60 481.90 457.50
Index Levels      
Nifty FMCG 51215.20 (-)0.90 51983.30 49927.40
Nifty 50 25320.65 1.10 25458.70 25144.60
S&P BSE Sensex 82269.78 0.90 82703.70 81724.10

 

End

 

Reported by Simran Rede

Edited by Tanima Banerjee

 

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Cogencis news is now Informist news. This follows the acquisition of Cogencis Information Services Ltd. by NSE Data & Analytics Ltd., a 100% subsidiary of the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. As a part of the transaction, the news department of Cogencis has been sold to Informist Media Pvt. Ltd.

 

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