Pharma Stocks Outlook
Sentiment weak, Oct-Dec earnings to set direction
This story was originally published at 19:31 IST on 16 January 2026
Register to read our real-time news.Informist, Friday, Jan. 16, 2026
MUMBAI – Shares of pharmaceutical companies are expected to continue to be range-bound next week as investors turn their focus to the December quarter earnings. Investors will keenly await the Oct-Dec earnings to gauge volume and price trends amid concerns about negative earnings surprises by some companies in the reporting quarter.
Among specific companies, Cipla's shares may face volatility amid supply disruptions to its Lanreotide drug, as its partner faces regulatory issues.
The Nifty Pharma index has been in a consolidation phase for more than a year, and technical analysts expect this trend to continue in the near term. For the week ended Friday, the Nifty Pharma index closed 2.4% lower at 22217.05 points. The index is seen facing resistance at 22700-22750 points and support at 22100-21900 points, Jatin Gedia, technical research analyst at Motilal Oswal, said.
"Overall, I expect more negative surprises than positive ones in December quarter earnings for pharmaceutical companies," Vishal Manchanda, senior vice president, covering pharmaceutical markets at Systematix Group, said. The analyst expects wholesalers to defer purchases of generic Revlimid drugs until the exclusivity on these drugs expires. Product launches by pharmaceutical majors, which were keenly watched, have not yet hit the markets, adding uncertainty about growth prospects for companies such as Sun Pharmaceutical Industries and Dr. Reddy's Laboratories, the analyst said. However, Lupin is expected to outperform its peers in the reporting quarter, Manchanda added.
Cipla's performance is expected to be hit after its European contract manufacturing organisation partner, Pharmathen, temporarily paused production of the Lanreotide drug for remediation efforts. The supply disruption, along with more competition in the generic Advair drug and the expiry of generic Revlimid exclusivity, is expected to pose an earnings risk for the pharmaceutical company in 2026-27 (Apr-Mar), according to a research report by global brokerage Nomura. The brokerage has cut its estimate for the company's Lanreotide revenue to $50 million from around $150 million for FY27 and $5 million from $35 million for the March quarter. Generic Revlimid sales provided strong margin-accretive benefits for the company, while the expiry of shared Revlimid exclusivity would materially erode Cipla's margin performance, according to the brokerage.
Cipla, Dr. Reddy's Laboratories, and Sun Pharmaceutical Industries are expected to report 13% year-on-year fall in their cumulative net profit during the quarter due to Revlimid-related impact. While US-focused companies may see weak sales, domestically oriented companies are expected to perform well, driven by strong traction in chronic therapy portfolios, a healthy rise in prescription-based sales, and a better pricing mix. Volume growth for domestic companies, however, is expected to be muted.
TOP HEADLINES
* Sun Pharma says co's UNLOXCYT drug now available for prescription in US
* Zydus Life receives final US FDA approval for eltrombopag tablets
* Biocon raises INR 41.5 bln via QIP; SBI MF, ICICI Pru MF top investors
* Lanreotide production paused as supply partner facing US FDA check - Cipla
* Dr Reddy's launches OTC olopatadine hydrochloride ophthalmic solution in US
* Delhi HC upholds ban on 2 fixed dose combinations for type-II diabetes cure
* Zydus Life arm gets US FDA nod for Zycubo, a first for children with Menkes
* Earnings Outlook: Dr Reddy's Q3 earnings seen hit; Revlimid effect fades out
* Biocon sets QIP floor price at INR 387.74 per shr, issue opens Mon
* IPO Alert: Rodec Pharma files DRHP with SEBI for OFS of 5.65 mln shares
* Alembic Pharma gets tentative US FDA approval for Bosutinib tablets
* HC allows Zydus Lifesciences to manufacture, sell biosimilar of Nivolumab
* Earnings Outlook:India, non-US mkts to drive modest Q3 growth for pharma cos
* US FDA approves Biocon arm's ANDA for Everolimus tablets for oral suspension
* Dr Reddy's Hyderabad facility gets US FDA post-application action letter
* Aurobindo Pharma arm gets nod from Health Canada for Dyrupeg biosimilar drug
The following are the resistance and support levels for key pharmaceutical stocks for next week as per calculations based on their prices on the National Stock Exchange:
| Company | Price | Week-on-Week Change in % |
Resistance | Support |
| Abbott India | 27755.00 | (-)1.20 | 28325.00 | 27365.00 |
| Alkem Laboratories | 5836.50 | 0.70 | 5920.50 | 5754.50 |
| Aurobindo Pharma | 1172.70 | (-)2.20 | 1207.40 | 1149.00 |
| Biocon | 377.65 | (-)0.50 | 389.90 | 368.40 |
| Cipla | 1397.50 | (-)4.70 | 1433.70 | 1349.10 |
| Divi's Laboratories | 6236.00 | (-)5.80 | 6439.00 | 6126.00 |
| Dr Reddy's Laboratories | 1175.50 | (-)2.90 | 1206.80 | 1155.80 |
| Gland Pharma | 1704.20 | 1.40 | 1786.50 | 1654.90 |
| GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals | 2345.40 | (-)1.10 | 2434.90 | 2295.30 |
| Glenmark Pharmaceuticals | 2000.70 | (-)0.30 | 2044.20 | 1968.20 |
| Granules India | 583.10 | (-)3.10 | 611.70 | 563.70 |
| Ipca Laboratories | 1509.90 | (-)4.10 | 1539.00 | 1467.20 |
| Laurus Labs | 1076.80 | (-)0.60 | 1107.90 | 1054.90 |
| Lupin | 2177.90 | (-)0.20 | 2233.80 | 2145.00 |
| Natco Pharma | 859.40 | (-)3.50 | 908.30 | 828.50 |
| Pfizer | 4760.90 | (-)2.30 | 4876.20 | 4684.80 |
| Sanofi India | 4164.00 | 1.00 | 4290.90 | 3958.10 |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries | 1668.90 | (-)3.50 | 1727.40 | 1630.00 |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals | 4018.20 | 1.40 | 4067.40 | 3947.40 |
| Zydus Lifesciences | 868.10 | (-)3.00 | 900.40 | 849.20 |
| Nifty Pharma | 22217.05 | (-)2.40 | 22601.40 | 21983.10 |
| Nifty 50 | 25694.35 | 0.00 | 25954.50 | 25532.30 |
| S&P Bse Sensex | 83570.35 | (-)0.00 | 84399.10 | 83042.10 |
End
US$1 = INR 90.87
Reported by Eshitva Prakash
Edited by Saji George Titus
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