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EquityWireEarnings Outlook: Lower rubber prices to more than double CEAT Q3 net profit
Earnings Outlook

Lower rubber prices to more than double CEAT Q3 net profit

This story was originally published at 10:27 IST on 14 January 2026
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Informist, Wednesday, Jan. 14, 2026

 

By Prateem Rohanekar

 

MUMBAI – CEAT Ltd. is expected to post a substantial year-on-year rise in its net profit for the December quarter on the back of a rise in net sales, according to brokerages. Reduced operating expenses due to a fall in domestic natural rubber prices added to the rise in net profit, brokerages noted in their reports.

 

The tyre manufacturer is likely to post a standalone net profit of INR 2.06 billion for the December quarter, according to the average of estimates from 10 brokerages. This is a rise of over 114% on year, and a nearly 2% sequential rise. The tyre manufacturer is expected to post net sales of INR 39.73 billion, up 21% on year and a sequential rise of over 7%.

 

The highest estimate for the company's net profit is INR 2.94 billion by Elara Securities (India) Pvt. Ltd. while, the lowest estimate is INR 1.62 billion by Nomura Equity Research. The highest estimate for the company's net sales is INR 40.99 billion by Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd., while the lowest is INR 38.13 billion by Elara Securities.

 

"CEAT is expected to record high-double digit volume growth YoY with ~300bps margin expansion aided by lower NR costs and better scale," Nirmal Bang said in a report.

 

The positive effect of lower input costs on the company's profit in the reporting quarter were also noted by Motilal Oswal. "All automobile-based tyre companies under our coverage are expected to register healthy margin expansion given the lower input costs," the brokerage said in a report.

 

The tyre manufacturer is expected to post earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation of INR 5.28 billion, according to the average of the estimates. This represents a rise of around 54% on year and of over 4% quarter-on-quarter. The highest estimate for the company's EBITDA is INR 5.55 billion by Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd., while the lowest is INR 5.13 billion by Nirmal Bang.

 

Of the 11 brokerage reports available with Informist on CEAT, nine have a 'buy' recommendation on the stock with an average target price of INR 4,233 per share. This is nearly 10% higher than the current market price. One brokerage has a 'hold' recommendation with a target price of INR 3,240 per share, while one has a 'sell' rating on the stock with a target price of INR 3,153 per share.

 

The company is scheduled to detail its earnings on Monday.

 

At 0951 IST, shares of the company were nearly 1% higher at INR 3883.30. The shares are up nearly 2% since the company announced its September quarter earnings.

 

Following are the December quarter earnings estimates for CEAT Ltd. from 10 brokerages in descending order of the estimate of net profit, in INR billion:

 

Brokerage

Net sales

Net profit

EBITDA

Elara Securities (India) Pvt. Ltd.

38.13

2.94

5.30

Kotak Securities Ltd.

39.71

2.12

5.24

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd.

39.42

2.11

5.55

JM Financial Institutional Securities Pvt. Ltd.

40.25

2.05

5.23

ICICI Securities Ltd.

40.38

2.03

5.25

Nirmal Bang Equities Pvt Ltd.

38.16

2.00

5.13

Nuvama Wealth Management Ltd.

40.05

1.98

5.14

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.

40.99

1.90

5.38

YES Securities (India) Ltd.

40.13

1.83

5.34

Nomura Equity Research

40.05

1.62

5.19

Average

39.73

2.06

5.28

 

End

 

IST, or Indian Standard Time, is five-and-a-half hours ahead of GMT

 

Edited by Avishek Dutta

 

For users of real-time market data terminals, Informist news is available exclusively on the NSE Cogencis WorkStation.

 

Cogencis news is now Informist news. This follows the acquisition of Cogencis Information Services Ltd. by NSE Data & Analytics Ltd., a 100% subsidiary of the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. As a part of the transaction, the news department of Cogencis has been sold to Informist Media Pvt. Ltd.

 

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