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EquityWireMetal Stocks Outlook: Seen up on higher base metal prices, weak dollar index
Metal Stocks Outlook

Seen up on higher base metal prices, weak dollar index

This story was originally published at 23:19 IST on 5 December 2025
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Informist, Friday, Dec 5, 2025


MUMBAI – Shares of metal companies are likely to continue to rise for the third straight week, supported by an increase in global base metal prices and copper prices, weakness in the dollar index, and strong base metal demand. The US Dollar index was slightly down at 99.06 at 2238 IST. The index had fallen to its lowest level since Oct. 29 on Thursday.

 

Investors saw opportunities as metal prices climbed, benefiting companies in India's mining and metals sector. This is expected to boost earnings prospects for metal companies. Additionally, the US added silver and copper to its critical minerals list, a move expected to strengthen the long-term demand outlook for these metals. In India, the government has identified 30 critical minerals vital to the country's economic development and energy transition. 

 

Analysts expect a bullish moment to continue for the sector with a buy-on-dip approach. They see the immediate resistance for the Nifty Metal index at 10500-10700 points and support at 10100-10000 points. "It (Nifty Metal index) underwent a few weeks long retracement post a multiyear breakout. Last week it formed a bar reversal on the weekly chart that is the initial sign of continuation of the prevailing uptrend," Vipin Kumaar, derivatives and technical analyst at Globe Capital Market, said.

 

In November, Indian steel prices fell 2% on a monthly basis to INR 46,000 per tonnes, while Chinese steel prices increased by 2% on month to $470 per tonnes as producers hiked export prices owing to lower production. "...capacity additions continued to support robust supply, although rising inventories, oversupply and a liquidity crunch exacerbated by the absence of any safeguard duties contributed to steel prices falling to 5-Year lows, below import parity levels," IDBI Capital said in a report. It expects this decline in steel prices to impact margins, especially with rising iron ore prices in the December quarter.

 

TOP HEADLINES
* Govt moves SC vs HC allowing Vedanta, arm to recover costs in oil field case
* HC extends interim relief to Tata Steel on Jajpur demand orders till Dec 12
* Godawari Power and Ispat to invest in Deccan Gold Mines' rights issue
* JSW Steel completes 100% stake acquisition in Saffron Resources
* NCLT approves Vedanta's INR-5.45-bln resolution plan for Incab Industries
* Godawari Power gets govt OK to run iron ore pellet unit at higher capacity
* JSW Steel forms JV with JFE Steel for Bhushan Power's steel business
* Jayaswal Neco board to meet Fri to mull raising up to INR 18 bln via NCDs
* Hind Copper, NTPC arm in MoU to bid for copper, critical mineral auctions
* HC asks Vedanta to move tribunal against govt order to appropriate guarantee
* S&P Global Ratings revises rating outlook on Vedanta Resources to positive
* Jindal Stainless launches loyalty program for retailers, fabricators
* Jurisdiction of cheque dishonour cases to be where payee has bk account: SC


Following are the resistance and support levels for the sector's key stocks for next week, as per calculations based on their prices on the National Stock Exchange:

CompanyPriceWeek-on-week
 change in % 
ResistanceSupport
HINDALCO INDUSTRIES LTD823.251.80845.00797.20
HINDUSTAN COPPER LTD371.8513.70385.10349.70
HINDUSTAN ZINC LTD498.102.70508.20485.40
JINDAL STEEL LTD1006.80(-)3.601024.10980.30
JSW STEEL LTD1162.200.201185.101131.90
JINDAL STAINLESS LTD755.40(-)2.00768.60737.50
NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD273.155.10279.30263.60
NMDC LTD76.463.4077.7074.20
STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LTD132.54(-)1.80134.70129.60
TATA STEEL LTD167.11(-)0.50169.20163.90
VEDANTA LTD524.50(-)0.30538.20510.90
Index Level   
NIFTY METAL10340.350.5010476.0010121.90
NIFTY 5026186.45(-)0.1026342.1025907.60
BSE SENSEX85712.370.0086247.7084810.50


End


Reported by Arundathi A R
Edited by Deepshikha Bhardwaj


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