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Informist, Tuesday, Sept. 30, 2025                                      Tel +91 (22) 6985-4000

Equity Alert: Indices end down in choppy trade ahead of MPC outcome

MUMBAI--1546 IST--Domestic headline equity indices fell towards the end of the session and closed with marginal losses Tuesday ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy outcome on Wednesday. The indices swung between gains and losses throughout the entire session.

The Nifty 50 ended at 24611.10 points, down 23.80 points or 0.1%, closing lower for the eighth straight session. The index was volatile on the expiry day of the monthly Nifty 50 derivative contracts. Gains in index heavyweight HDFC Bank could not offset the fall in Reliance Industries. The BSE Sensex closed at 80267.62 points, down 97.32 points or 0.1%.      

InterGlobe Aviation and Max Healthcare Institute replaced Hero MotoCorp and IndusInd Bank in the Nifty 50 effective Tuesday, as announced during the semi-annual index review of NSE Indices. In the Nifty 200 and Nifty 500 indices, the rejig involved nine and eighteen constituents, respectively.       

Investors sold shares of media companies throughout the session. Prime Focus, Nazara Technologies, and PVR Inox closed 2-5% lower. The sell-off follows US President Donald Trump's announcement late Monday of a 100% tariff on films produced outside the US. 

State-owned banks saw huge buying interest from investors Tuesday. The Nifty PSU Bank closed 1.8% higher and was the top gainer among the sectoral indices. Bank of India, Indian Bank, and Central Bank of India closed 3-4% higher. 

Four stocks made their debut on the bourses Tuesday. Jaro Institute was listed at the issue price of INR 890. Seshaasai Technologies and Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers were listed at INR 432 each. Solarworld Energy was listed at INR 388.50. Barring Anand Rathi, the other three stocks ended in the red. (Gopika Balasubramanium)

Equity Alert: Nifty 50 Oct ends at 175.90-point premium to spot index

MUMBAI--1545 IST--The October futures contract of the Nifty 50 closed at a premium of 175.90 points to the spot index Tuesday. Open interest in the contract rose over 23.4% to 17.29 million, according to provisional data.

--Nifty 50 closed at 24611.10 points, down 23.80 points or 0.1% vs Mon
--Nifty 50 October closed at 24787.00 points, down 22.20 points or 0.1% vs Mon

Nifty 50 options, expiring Oct. 7, with maximum change in open interest:

Call: 24700, Put: 24600

Nifty 50 options, expiring Oct. 7, with maximum open interest:

Call: 25000, Put: 24600

(Anjana Therese Antony)

Equity Alert: Pharma tariffs may hit Sun Pharma EPS 4-5%, says Kotak Equities

MUMBAI--1445 IST--Sun Pharmaceutical Industries is likely to see a 4-5% hit on its earnings per share in 2026-27 (Apr-Mar) in the worst-case scenario of a 100% tariff by the US on branded pharmaceutical products manufactured in India and the European Union, Kotak Institutional Equities said in a report dated Monday. However, instead of 100%, if the US imposes a 15% tariff on drugs manufactured in the EU, the brokerage estimates only around a 1% impact on Sun Pharmaceutical's FY27 earnings per share, the report said. 

Most of Sun Pharma's speciality molecules, except Xelpros, are manufactured by contract development and manufacturing organisations in North America and the EU. The brokerage suggests that there is a high possibility the brands manufactured in the EU will be taxed at 15%. However, if the pharmaceutical goods from EU are also slapped a 100% tariff then Sun Pharma will be the worst hit. 

"As of now, we do not have clarity on whether any of the company's EU-manufactured brands are in the exempt list or not," Kotak said. The company had earlier said it does not have any plans to establish a new manufacturing plant in the US.

Last week, US President Donald Trump announced drug-makers that have started building their manufacturing units in the country will be exempted from the freshly announced tariffs on branded and patented drugs. 

At 1420 IST, shares of Sun Pharma traded 0.4% higher at INR 1,596.20 on the NSE. Of the 20 brokerage reports on the company with Informist, 16 brokerages have a 'buy' or equivalent rating, with an average target price of INR 1,954. Three brokerages have a 'hold' or equivalent rating and only one brokerage has a 'sell' rating on the company.  (P. Madhu Kumar)

Equity Alert: Most European indices fall; shrs of Pandora dn as CEO resigns

MUMBAI--1434 IST--Most equity indices in Europe were down in early trade Tuesday, with healthcare and energy stocks being the biggest laggards. Market participants gauged the impact of a slew of economic data released earlier in the day and await further readings on European economies. Traders are closely monitoring developments in the global trade environment after US President Donald Trump's announcement of the US hiking tariffs on timber, lumber, and kitchen cabinets, among others.

Shares of several healthcare companies across Europe declined. Denmark's Novo Nordisk, UK's AstraZeneca, and France's Sanofi fell 0.5-2.3%. Oil and gas stocks were also lower throughout the region with shares of France's TotalEnergies and the UK's BP falling 1.1-2%. Shares of Danish jewellery giant Pandora were 3.5% lower in early trade after the company said its Chief Executive Officer Alexander Lacik would retire in March and Chief Marketing Officer Berta de Pablos-Barbier would replace him. The UK's ASOS fell more than 10% after the online fashion retailer said its annual revenue would miss market expectations.

Germany's DAX Performance index was 0.2% lower. The country's retail sales fell 0.2% in real terms in August compared to July. Analysts polled by Reuters had predicted a 0.6% monthly increase. Germany's unemployment numbers for August rose more than expected as the seasonally adjusted jobless figure rose 14,000, compared to a Reuters estimate of an 8,000 increase. 

France's consumer price index rose 1.1% on year in September, according to preliminary data from the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies. The reading was slightly lower than the market expectations, according to meadia reports. France's CAC 40 was 0.5% lower. 

Traders are waiting for Germany's preliminary CPI numbers for September and news from the US Congress as concerns about a US government shutdown grow. 

Following were the levels of major European indices at 1432 IST:
 

(Eshitva Prakash)

Equity Alert: Ola Electric hits 5% upper circuit, up after 4-day losing run

MUMBAI--1335 IST--Shares Ola Electric Mobility hit the 5% upper circuit at INR 56.95 at around 1222 IST. The surge came after a four-day losing run, in which the stock corrected around 7%. At 1320 IST, the stock was among the top gainers in the Nifty 500 index.

Late on Sunday, the government unveiled operational guidelines for availing subsidy for vehicle charging stations, battery swapping stations and battery charging stations, offering up to 100% subsidies, The Hindu newspaper reported Monday. The guidelines identify entities that are eligible for subsidies and offer support for deployment of upstream infrastructure costs and for electric vehicle supply equipment costs in certain cases, the report said. The guidelines come under the PM E-drive scheme for promotion of electric vehicles with an outlay of INR 20 billion for charging infrastructure.

Till 1320 IST, over 17.73 million shares of the company changed hands on the National Stock Exchange, over two times the 7.36 million shares traded till the same time Monday. Currently, there are no research reports on the stock available with Informist. (Arya S. Biju)

Equity Alert: Jewellery cos rise; ICICI Sec upgrades Kalyan Jewellers to buy

MUMBAI--1223 IST--Shares of most jewellery companies were up Tuesday. Early in the day, Kalyan Jewellers India rose over 5% to INR 472.10 and was the top gainer in the Nifty 200. Titan Co. rose over 2% to INR 3,474.50 and was among the top gainers in the Nifty 50. However, both the stocks came off their highs. At 1223 IST, shares of Kalyan Jewellers were up 1.4% at INR 454.75 and those of Titan down 0.1% at INR 3,397.80.

On the Multi Commodity Exchange, the December contract of gold hit a fresh record high of INR 117,697 per 10 grams. The contract is up for the 10th consecutive month and fourth consecutive session. Gold futures have risen over 12% this month--the highest monthly rise since August 2013.

ICICI Securities has upgraded Kalyan Jewellers to 'buy' from 'add' as it believes over 35% correction in the stock price in the last one year provides material margin of safety. The brokerage firm has maintained its earnings estimates and expects the company to deliver strong same-store sales growth in 2025-26 (Apr-Mar), supported by strong demand during festivals and the wedding season.

The broking firm has reiterated its positive stance on the stock as it believes it may continue to outperform peers on the back of aggressive store expansion through its asset-light FOCO model, adding growth levers from omni-channel format Candere, and improving balance sheet health through further debt reduction of INR 3.5 billion to INR 4.0 billion in FY26.

ICICI Securities has maintained its target price on the stock at INR 670 and expects the company's revenue momentum to remain strong going ahead with steady demand trends despite elevated gold prices. The broking firm expects the company's revenue to grow at compound annual growth rate of 28% over FY25-FY27.  (Simran Rede)

Equity Alert: Solarworld Energy lists at INR 388.50, nearly 11% premium

MUMBAI--1050 IST--Solarworld Energy Solutions listed at INR 388.50 on the NSE, which is nearly an 11% premium to the issue price of INR 351. At 1025 IST, the stock traded at INR 335.20, down 4.5% from its issue price. Over 6.30 million shares of the company have been traded so far. 

The stock listed higher but later fell below the issue price. The initial public offering of the company closed Thursday and the offer was subscribed 65 times, with the company receiving bids for 526.10 million shares against 8.09 million shares on offer.

Solarworld Energy Solutions provides solar energy solutions and specialises in engineering, procurement, and construction services for solar power projects. For the financial year 2024-25 (Apr-Mar), it had reported a consolidated net profit of INR 770.48 million on a consolidated revenue of INR 5.45 billion.  (Simran Rede)

Equity Alert: Jaro Institute lists at INR 890, same as  issue price; dips 17%

MUMBAI--1045 IST--Jaro Institute of Technology Management and Research listed at INR 890, same as its issue price. At 1030 IST, the stock traded at INR 739, down 17% from the listing price. Over 2.18 million shares of the company have been traded so far.

The stock listed at the upper end of its price band. The initial public offering of the company ended Thursday was subscribed 22 times, with the company receiving bids for a total of 82.13 million shares against 3.72 million shares on offer, according to the data on the BSE website. 

Jaro Institute of Technology Management and Research is an online higher education and upskilling platform company. For 2024-25 (Apr-Mar), it had reported a net profit of INR 516.66 million on revenue of INR 2.52 billion.  (Simran Rede)

Equity Alert: Anand Rathi Share lists at INR 432, premium of 4% to IPO price

MUMBAI--1035 IST--Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers listed at INR 432. This implies an over 4% premium to the issue price of INR 414. At 1034 IST, the stock traded at INR 435.75, up 5.3% from its listing price. Over 12.12 million shares of the company have been traded so far. 

Investors showed some optimism on the stock, which rose to touch an intraday high of iNR 446.85. Later, the stock came slightly off highs. The initial public offering of the company closed Thursday, with the offer subscribed nearly 21 times. The company received bids for 276.08 million shares against 13.36 million shares on offer.

Anand Rathi is a brokerage house that provides broking services and margin trading facility and also distributes financial products to its clients. It had reported a consolidated net profit of INR 1.04 billion for 2024-25 (Apr-Mar) on a revenue of INR 8.46 billion.  (Simran Rede)

Equity Alert: Seshaasai Tech lists at INR 432, over 2% premium to IPO price

MUMBAI--1018 IST--Shares of Seshaasai Technologies listed at INR 432 on NSE, an over 2% premium to the issue price of INR 423. At 1018 IST, the stock traded at INR 410, down 3% from its listing price. Over 5.48 million shares of the company have been traded so far.

The initial public offering of the company, which ended Thursday, was subscribed over 68 times, with the company receiving bids for 938 million shares against 13.77 million shares on offer.

Seshaasai Technologies is a technology-driven solutions provider, offering payment solutions, communications and fulfilment solutions to banking, financial services, and insurance companies. It had reported a consolidated net profit of INR 2.22 billion for the financial year 2024-25 (Apr-Mar) on a revenue of INR 14.63 billion.  (Simran Rede)

Equity Alert: Blue Dart Express at 2-month high; co hikes avg shipment price

MUMBAI--1010 IST--Shares of Blue Dart Express rose nearly 11% in early trade Tuesday to touch a two-month high of INR 6,169 after the company announced a hike of 9-12% in its average price of shipments. The company Monday said that the new rates will come into effect from Jan. 1 and will vary based on product to be shipped and the customer's shipping profile. 

As of 0958 IST, over 480,000 shares of the company had changed hands on the NSE as compared to 1,105 shares traded till the same time Monday. The stock traded over 6% higher at INR 5,936. 

Blue Dart express said the increased rates will not be applicable for customers signing up for shipments between Oct. 1 and Dec. 31. The company also said that the new price adjustment is in line with its annual practice. 

Out of the five brokerage reports available on the company with Informist, three brokerages have a 'buy' or equivalent rating at an average target price of INR 7,197. ICICI Securities has a 'hold' rating on the stock with a target price of INR 7,500. (P. Madhu Kumar)

Equity Alert: Mkt opens higher; InterGlobe Aviation, Max Health join Nifty 50

MUMBAI--0940 IST--The domestic benchmark indices open higher Tuesday, buoyed by gains in financial services and information technology stocks. InterGlobe Aviation and Max Healthcare Institute replaced Hero MotoCorp and IndusInd Bank in the Nifty 50.

At 0936 IST, the Nifty 50 was at 24661.20 points, up 26.30 points or 0.1%. The 50-stock index was supported by gains in index heavyweights HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. The BSE Sensex was at 80443.86 points, up 78.92 points or 0.1%. Broader market indices were also up, with Nifty Smallcap 250 and the Nifty Midcap 150 rising 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively.

Shares of public-sector banks rose, with Canara Bank, Bank of India, and Indian Bank gaining 1-3%. Investors bought shares of metal companies. Hindustan Copper, Vedanta, and Hindustan Zinc rose 2.8%, 1.7%, and 1.5%, respectively.

Media stocks came under selling pressure. Nazara Technologies, PVR Inox, Prime Focus fell nearly 2% each. The Nifty Media index, which fell 0.6%, was the worst-hit among the sector indices.

Among stocks, Man Industries (India) fell nearly 14% after the Securities and Exchange Board of India banned the company, its chairman, and the managing director, from the securities market for two years for diversion of funds. On the other hand, Blue Dart Express rose over 9% after the company said it will increase the average shipment price by 9-12% effective Jan. 1.  (Gopika Balasubramanium)

Equity Alert: CLSA starts coverage on Coforge, sets INR 2,346 target price

MUMBAI--0927 IST--Brokerage firm CLSA initiated coverage on Coforge with an 'outperform' rating and a target price of INR 2,346 on on the stock, CNBC-TV18 reported. CLSA was bullish on the stock, citing strong execution, domain expertise, and said consulting mindset may drive robust order book, revenue, and earnings growth. 

The brokerage firm said that the company was among the top 10 information technology firms in the country by revenue and projected growth in Coforge's revenue at 15%, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation at 16% and compound annual growth rate at 22%, for 2025-26 (Apr-Mar) to FY28, according to a post by CNBC-TV18 on social media platform X.  

Out of the 17 brokerage reports available on the company, 16 have a 'buy' rating on the stock with an average target price of INR 1,923 and only one brokerage has a 'hold' rating with a target price of INR 1,780. At 0923 IST, shares of the company were up over 1% at INR 1,567.50. (P. Madhu Kumar)

Equity Alert: JLR to resume ops in phased manner, Tata Motors tells analysts

MUMBAI--0900 IST--Jaguar Land Rover is to resume manufacturing in a controlled and phased manner in the coming days after the shutdown due to a cyber-attack in early September, Tata Motors told analysts in a meeting. The near-term demand outlook remains challenging, Europe is weak and China is subdued following the luxury tax change, while the US remains resilient, Nuvama Institutional Equities said in a report citing Tata Motors. The brokerage maintained its 'retain' rating on the stock with a target price of INR 680. Monday, the company's shares ended marginally lower at INR 672.50.

Retail sales in September are unaffected, wholesale sales are to be managed, Emkay Global Financial Services said, adding that some liquidity hit is expected due to production halt. The brokerage has a 'buy' rating on the stock and a target price of INR 750.

Sierra launch is on track for the March quarter with curated variants and competitive pricing aimed at improving volumes and model mix, Nuvama said. Given the launch of Sierra, the company would cover 75% of the domestic addressable market in the passenger vehicle side, the broking firm said. 

The separate listing of passenger vehicles and commercial vehicle businesses is likely in October or November, Nuvama said in a research report. The company is currently waiting for receipt of approval.

Tata Motors expects the Indian passenger vehicles industry to grow 7-8% in second half of 2025-26 (Apr-Mar). This is on the back of goods and services tax reforms aiding affordability and visible surge in bookings, Emkay Global said. The management expects compact and sport utility vehicles and hatchbacks to do well, Nuvama said. Demand for hatchbacks is expected to improve as consumers shift from used cars to new ones. Tata Motors may hike prices in January due to commodity pricing pressure, though it aims to preserve profitability via operating leverage and richer product mix, Emkay Global said, citing management's comments

As for commercial vehicles, the Punch-maker's management upgraded the outlook for FY25-30 compounded annual growth rate to 6-8% from 5-7% earlier. This growth is mainly on the back of GST cuts amid expectations of a demand revival, given better consumption.

The management expects double-digit volume growth in the half year ending March, including in small commercial vehicles. Pricing discipline is intact, with sustained margin focus, Emkay Global said, citing management. GST reforms will lower operational expenditure for fleet operators by 1-2%, mainly through tyres, lubricants, and parts, directly aiding the bottom-line. About 60–70% of Tata Motors' heavy trucks and 40% of light commercial vehicles are business-to-business and will take a hit due to the GST cut. However, smaller commercial vehicles will benefit.  (Gopika Balasubramanium)

Equity Alert: Mkts in Asia mixed; China mfg PMI falls for sixth month

MUMBAI--0830 IST--Indices in Asia were mixed in early trade Tuesday, with Japan's market in the red while South Korea and Australia remained flat. Markets in China gained after the country's official manufacturing activity contracted lesser than market estimates. Traders await Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy decision, due later in the day, where the central bank is expected to keep its cash rate steady at 3.6%, according to a poll by Reuters.

China's Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index came in at 49.8, contracting for the sixth straight month, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed. Reuters had expected the reading to be 49.6. A reading lesser than 50 indicates contraction in manufacturing activity. While still in contraction, the latest reading was the strongest since March, a CNBC report said. The RatingDog China General Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index, compiled by S&P Global, rose to 51.2 in September from 50.5 last month, higher than 50.2 estimated by a Reuters poll. The blue-chip CSI 300 index was 0.1% higher.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was up 0.3%. Shares of China's Zijin Gold International rose as much 65% in their Hong Kong trading debut Tuesday after the company raised $3.2 billion in an initial public offering, the largest in the city for four years, a report by Reuters said. South Korea's Kospi index swung between gains and losses in early trade and was down marginally. Japan's Nikkei 225 index fell marginally while the broader Topix index was largely flat. 

Traders braced for a likely US government shutdown. US Vice President J.D. Vance said the government appeared "headed to a shutdown" after little progress in budget talks between President Donald Trump and Democratic opponents, according to a Reuters report. 

Following were the levels of key Asian indices at 0827 IST:

(Eshitva Prakash)

Equity Alert: Indices may open slightly higher on positive global cues

MUMBAI--0800 IST--Benchmark indices are likely to open slighlty higher Tuesday and move in a range with a negative bias as high stock valuation may continue to push investors to book profits. Some volatility is expected as futures and options contracts are set to expire Tuesday on the National Stock Exchange, but indices may not see any major fall ahead of the outcome of the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee meeting on Wednesday.

Benchmark indices have faced selling pressure in recent sessions with the Nifty 50 Monday ending lower for the seventh straight session. The index has lost over 3% in these sessions to end at 24634.90 points. GIFT Nifty futures indicate the index may open slightly higher. At 0742 IST, GIFT Nifty September contract was up only 0.3% from the Nifty 50's close on Monday and the October contract was up 0.8% from the Nifty 50's close.

Global cues were positive as most of the Asian markets gained and US indices ended slightly higher overnight. US indices ended higher Monday despite the US government under a threat of shutdown. The US Congress has not reached a consensus over spending measures with the deadline to reach an agreement Tuesday. 

Analysts quoted in a Reuters report said government shutdowns in the past has not affected companies' earnings and markets may only react if they see any signs of impact on growth. There is also a possiblity that Friday's jobs report in the US may be delayed due to government shutdown, Reuters reported.

St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem said he was open to further interest rate cuts but policymakers should be careful as inflation is still above the US central bank's target. "I do believe we need to tread cautiously because the room between now and the point where policy could become overly accommodative is limited," Musalem was quoted as saying in a report by Bloomberg.

Most of the Asian markets were also up with indices in Taiwan, China, South Korea, and Hong Kong rising. Taiwan was among the top gainers with the index up 1.4%. Indices in Japan were slightly lower with the Nikkei 225 down for the third straight session.

Domestic market participants now await the MPC meeting outcome, where the central bank is expected to keep the rates unchanged at 5.50%. Market will look at RBI's commentary on growth amid GST rate cuts and some analysts see a possiblity of the RBI revising their GDP projections higher. (Anshul Choudhary)

Equity Alert: US mkt ends higher Monday; traders shrug off govt shutdown fear

MUMBAI--0740 IST--US benchmark indices closed higher Monday, despite concerns of a government shutdown, as technology and artificial intelligence-related stocks saw sharp gains. The US Labor Department has said it will not release any data, including the September nonfarm payrolls data, due Friday, if a shutdown is unavoidable. Investors also focussed on comments by Federal Reserve officials for cues on US monetary policy going forward.

Cleveland Federal Reserve President Beth Hammack Monday said the Fed needed to maintain restrictive monetary policy to lower inflation. St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said he is open to further interest rate cuts but that the central bank must be cautious and keep rates high enough to continue to lean against inflation.

Government shutdowns have historically not impacted markets much, but sentiment could take a hit if any delays around the release of key economic data muddy the interest rate outlook for the Federal Reserve, a CNBC report said.

AI stocks, which had weighed on the US indices last week over demand concerns, closed higher Monday. Shares of chipmaker Nvidia rose over 2% and those of Advanced Micro Devices and Micron Technology rose over 1% and 4%, respectively. Shares of Electronic Arts were up 4.5% after the game publisher said it will be taken private in a $55 billion deal. "The AI capital expenditure story is showing no signs of slowdown. Moreover, other industries have also been benefiting from the tidal wave of AI infrastructure spend," Venu Krishna, head of US equity strategy at Barclays, was quoted as saying by CNBC. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite rose 0.5%.

Among other stocks, Lam Research rose 2% after Deutsche Bank upgraded the rating on the chip-making equipment firm to 'buy' from 'hold.' Shares of AppLovin hit a fresh record high before closing higher by 6.3% after Morgan Stanley raised the target price on the stock to $750 from $480, a Reuters report said.

So far in September, the S&P 500 has risen 3.1% compared to August and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has advanced nearly 2%. The Nasdaq Composite index has advanced more than 5%.

Following are the closing levels of US indices Monday:

(Eshitva Prakash)

End

US$1 = INR 88.78

IST, or Indian Standard Time, is five-and-a-half hours ahead of GMT

Edited by Saji George Titus

All prices from National Stock Exchange, unless otherwise specified.

All percentage changes for share prices are rounded off to the nearest whole number; percentage changes for index values are rounded off to one decimal place.

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