Capital Goods Stocks Outlook
Seen in range next wk on high stock valuations
This story was originally published at 17:03 IST on 26 September 2025
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MUMBAI – Shares of capital goods companies are likely to move in a range, given the high valuations of stocks in the sector. While high valuations have put stocks at risk of profit booking, analysts do not expect any significant fall, given hopes of higher capital expenditure going forward.
Market participants are in a wait-and-watch mode, eagerly awaiting demand patterns during the festival season, which starts in October. Analysts are hopeful that demand from consumers will improve after the government cut goods and services taxes on several daily-use products.
A better demand will bolster expectations of recovery in capital expenditure by private companies, while softer demand trends may lead to a fall in stock prices. "Investment in private capex has largely been in pockets – data centres, electronics manufacturing and electrification," HSBC said in its strategy report Friday.
Capital expenditure by the government so far this financial year is strong, given the low base of last year. The government's capital expenditure in the first four months of 2025-26 (Apr-Mar) was INR 3.47 trillion, up 33% from the same period last year, according to data from the Controller General of Accounts.
There are concerns that the government may need to curtail its capital expenditure to offset the revenue loss resulting from the income tax rebates announced in the Budget and the recent GST rate cuts. While the government expects its revenue loss from GST cuts to be INR 480 billion, some economists suggest it could be INR 1 trillion-INR 2 trillion.
A large part of the capital goods sector will not be affected by the steep tariffs imposed by the US on Indian imports, analysts said. However, companies in the business of container cargoes may be impacted depending on their mix of cargo going to the US.
The BSE Capital Goods index fell this week, snapping a three-week gaining streak. The sectoral index fell by over 4% this week on the BSE, marking its worst weekly decline since the week ended Apr. 4. Shares of Praj Industries, Inox Wind, and Jyoti CNC Automation were the worst-hit, losing 9-10% this week.
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Following are the resistance and support levels for the stocks for next week, as per calculations by Informist based on their prices on the National Stock Exchange:
| Company | Price | Week-on-week change in % |
Resistance | Support |
| Bharat Heavy Electricals | 231.01 | (-)2.60 | 235.80 | 227.40 |
| CG Power and Industrial Solutions | 739.40 | (-)5.10 | 767.40 | 723.50 |
| Larsen & Toubro | 3729.50 | 1.50 | 3862.40 | 3594.60 |
| Siemens | 3096.30 | (-)6.90 | 3190.10 | 3028.10 |
| Thermax | 3197.70 | (-)3.30 | 3264.10 | 3129.10 |
| Bharat Electronics | 395.90 | (-)3.20 | 410.60 | 387.10 |
| S&P BSE Capital Goods | 68345.94 | (-)4.10 | 70165.60 | 67354.10 |
| Nifty 50 | 24654.70 | (-)2.70 | 24956.70 | 24478.40 |
| S&P BSE Sensex | 80426.46 | (-)2.70 | 81298.00 | 79896.60 |
End
Reported by Anshul Choudhary
Edited by Saji George Titus
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