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Informist, Monday, Jul. 14, 2025

By Anshul Choudhary

MUMBAI – Options data showed the Nifty 50 index may fall below 25000 points in the coming sessions amid the risk of further profit booking. However, any downside is seen as limited, and analysts still hope a bounce back from lower levels is possible.

There haven't been any major positive cues to support the already high valuations in the market, with the US-India trade deal yet to materialise and the June quarter earnings growth likely to be weak. Monday, the Nifty 50 came dangerously close to dropping below 25000 points, but managed to find buyers at lower levels. The index closed at 25082.30 points, down 0.3%.

"Re-rating has done the heavy-lifting for the markets, and the focus now shifts to earnings growth and upgrades... upgrades will only start in H2FY26 (Oct-Mar)," Emkay Global Financial Services said in a report over the weekend. The brokerage expects consolidation in the market for one to two quarters.

Traders sold call options across the board after the Nifty 50 fell Monday. The highest open interest addition was seen at 25100-25200 calls. Apart from this, call options at the 25000 strike price also saw significant open interest.

Trading was mixed on the put side. Traders bought in-the-money put options, with data showing they unwound their long positions. At the same time, traders continued to sell out-of-the-money put options. The highest open interest addition was seen at 24900-25100 strike prices. Analysts expect the Nifty 50 to find support at 24900-25000 points.

--Nifty 50 Jul closed at 25173.00, down 50.40 points; 90.70-point premium to the spot index

--Nifty 50 Aug closed at 25284.50, down 43.00 points; 202.20-point premium to the spot index

--Nifty 50 Sep closed at 25431.40, down 58.40 points; 349.10-point premium to the spot index

BSE, HDFC Bank, Infosys, Reliance Industries, Avenue Supermarts, Tata Consultancy Services, ICICI Bank, One 97 Communications, State Bank of India, Axis Bank, Eternal, IDFC FIRST Bank, Laurus Labs, Piramal Enterprises, Bharti Airtel, and HCL Technologies were the most active underlying stocks Monday.  End

Edited by Saji George Titus

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