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EquityWireANALYSIS: Durable goods, retail cos Q4 PAT beats view, but revenue lags
ANALYSIS

Durable goods, retail cos Q4 PAT beats view, but revenue lags

This story was originally published at 22:09 IST on 25 June 2025
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Informist, Wednesday, Jun. 25, 2025

 

By Simran Rede

 

MUMBAI – In the seasonally-weak March quarter, durable goods companies as well as retail companies reported higher-than-anticipated on-year growth in net profit. However, these companies failed to meet the expectations of on-year growth in revenue.

 

The aggregate net profit for the March quarter of three durable companies that are part of the Nifty 200 index grew 76% on year, significantly higher than analysts' estimate of 42% on-year growth. This growth was driven by Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. and Havells India Ltd. However, the three companies' net sales grew 51% for the reporting quarter, below analysts' forecast of 53% growth.

 

The five retail companies that are part of the Nifty 200 universe saw their aggregate bottom line rise 89% on year, against expectations of a 57% increase. However, their revenue grew only 17% for the quarter, lower than the 19% growth expected.

 

CONSUMER DURABLES

Dixon Technologies, Havells India, and Voltas Ltd. are the three consumer durables companies in the Nifty 200. The net profit of Dixon Technologies and Havells India for the March quarter grew higher than analysts' estimate of 42% growth for the sector.

 

The net profit of Dixon Technologies grew 321% on the back of a one-time gain of INR 2.50 billion. Excluding the one-time benefit, its net profit growth moderates to 59%. Analysts had expected the company's net profit to grow 130% for the March quarter.

 

Havells India's net profit growth also exceeded analyst forecasts on the back of sectoral tailwinds, strong channel restocking ahead of summer, and a pick-up in government spending on infrastructure. 

 

The net profit of Voltas for the March quarter beat the sector estimate, rising 107% on year. Voltas's robust performance was driven by higher volumes in its unitary cooling products segment.

 

The aggregate revenue growth of the three companies for the quarter was the highest in four years, but only one exceeded the consensus view on revenue growth for the sector. Overall, the companies did not perform well on the sales front owing to lower demand in the off-season, muted prices, and inflationary pressures. Voltas was the best performer in terms of net profit growth, but underperformed on revenue growth on account of low demand in most of its product categories.

 

RETAIL COMPANIES

Five retail companies are part of the Nifty 200 index. For the March quarter, they reported a significant rise in their bottom lines despite subdued demand. The aggregate net profit of these companies for the quarter rose 89% on year, sharply above the expected 57% growth.

 

Of the five, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. was the only company to report a loss for the quarter. However, the loss narrowed on year and was also lower than what the Street had anticipated. FSN E-Commerce Ventures Ltd. and Trent Ltd. did better, by a wide margin, than the sector estimate for net profit growth. Trent's net profit for the quarter, excluding gains from one-time items, surged 215% on year. Avenue Supermarts Ltd.'s bottom-line growth of 3% was the lowest among its peers.

 

Like in the December quarter, the net profit margin of Page Industries Ltd. was the highest among its peer companies at 14.94%. The aggregate net profit margin for the sector contracted to 4.49% from 5.28% a year ago. The aggregate net profit margin for the December quarter was 5.12%.

 

Only two of the five retail companies exceeded the sector estimate of 19% revenue growth, but they missed their own respective revenue growth estimates. Two other companies did better than expected individually while falling short of the sector estimate. Avenue Supermarts missed both the sector and individual estimates, which in the company's case nearly coincided at 19%. The company's revenue for the March quarter grew 17% on year.

 

However, in absolute terms, the revenue of Avenue Supermarts was the highest among its peers. Aditya Birla Fashion's top line improved nearly 6% on year during the quarter under review, higher than analysts' estimate of 4.4% for the company. FSN E-Commerce's revenue growth was largely as expected and beat the sector estimate.

 

The following table shows the performance of the three companies in the consumer durables sector vis-a-vis the consensus estimate for each company as well as the consensus estimates for the consumer durables sector and the Nifty 200 index:

 

 

Nifty 200 Q4 PAT growth 14.76%

Nifty 200 Q4 PAT growth consensus estimate 0.78%

 

Nifty 200 Q4 revenue growth 5.85%

Nifty 200 Q4 revenue growth consensus estimate 5.20%

 

 

Company

PAT beat analysts' estimate

Adjusted PAT growth % (without exceptional items)

Adjusted PAT

PAT beat sector estimate

PAT beat Nifty 200 estimate

 

Revenue beat analysts' estimate

Revenue growth %

Revenue

Revenue beat sector estimate

Revenue beat Nifty 200 estimate

growth

growth

estimate %

estimate %

Durables sector

 

76.25

41.76

       

50.88

52.64

   

Dixon Technologies (India) Limited

YES

58.00

130.04

NO

YES

 

NO

120.97

127.11

YES

YES

Havells India Limited

YES

16.35

3.33

NO

YES

 

YES

20.20

16.40

NO

YES

Voltas Limited

NO

106.99

117.73

YES

YES

 

NO

13.44

16.99

NO

YES

 

 

The following table shows the profit margins of the three consumer durables companies that are a part of the Nifty 200.

 

 

PAT Margin for Mar-25

PAT Margin for Mar-24

PAT Margin for Dec-24

Nifty 200

12.93%

11.93%

12.47%

Durables sector

5.39%

4.62%

3.18%

 

Company

PAT Margin for Mar-25

PAT Margin for Mar-24

PAT Margin for Dec-24

Dixon Technologies (India) Limited

3.89%

2.04%

1.64%

Havells India Limited

8.00%

8.26%

5.79%

Voltas Limited

5.06%

2.77%

4.26%

 

The following table shows the performance of the five companies in the retail sector vis-a-vis the consensus estimate for each company as well as the consensus estimates for the retail sector and the Nifty 200 index.

 

 

Nifty 200 Q4 PAT growth 14.76%

Nifty 200 Q4 PAT growth consensus estimate 0.78%

 

Nifty 200 Q4 revenue growth 5.85%

Nifty 200 Q4 revenue growth consensus estimate 5.20%

 

 

Company PAT beat analysts' estimate Adjusted PAT growth % (without exceptional items) Adjusted PAT PAT beat sector estimate PAT beat Nifty 200 estimate   Revenue beat analysts' estimate Revenue growth % Revenue Revenue beat sector estimate Revenue beat Nifty 200 estimate
growth growth
estimate % estimate %
Retail sector   89.29 56.86         16.99 18.96    
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited YES -- -- -- --   YES 5.59 4.37 NO YES
Avenue Supermarts Limited YES 2.57 2.56 NO YES   NO 16.69 19.14 NO YES
FSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited NO 192.64 193.29 YES YES   NO 23.61 24.25 YES YES
Page Industries Limited YES 51.57 24.78 NO YES   YES 10.64 8.77 NO YES
Trent Limited NO -46.52 206.13 NO YES   NO 28.84 34.29 YES YES

 

The following table shows the profit margins of the five retail companies that are a part of the Nifty 200.

 

 

PAT Margin for Mar-25

PAT Margin for Mar-24

PAT Margin for Dec-24

Nifty 200

12.93%

11.93%

12.47%

Retail sector

4.49%

5.28%

5.12%

 

Company

PAT Margin for Mar-25

PAT Margin for Mar-24

PAT Margin for Dec-24

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited

-0.47%

-6.74%

-1.19%

Avenue Supermarts Limited

4.28%

4.88%

5.04%

FSN E-Commerce Ventures Limited

0.98%

0.42%

1.15%

Page Industries Limited

14.94%

10.90%

15.59%

Trent Limited

8.52%

20.53%

10.35%

 

End

 

Edited by Rajeev Pai

 

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