Weak Phase of Monsoon
Skymet sees no significant progress of southwest monsoon till mid-next week
This story was originally published at 21:53 IST on 3 June 2025
Register to read our real-time news.Informist, Tuesday, Jun. 3, 2025
MUMBAI – The private weather forecasting agency Skymet said the southwest monsoon is unlikely to make any significant progress next week as a monsoon system is yet to be formed over the Bay of Bengal. "The weak phase of the monsoon is likely to continue till mid-week next."
The northern limit of the monsoon has been stuck at Mumbai since May 26 and the eastern arm remains stagnant at Balurghat in West Bengal since Thursday. According to the weather agency, daily rainfall across the country has dipped significantly compared to last week. India's daily rainfall as of Tuesday was 3.0 millimetres against the normal of 2.9 millimetres, while the precipitation was 8.5 millimetres on May 30 against the normal of 2.4 millimetres.
The weather agency said heavy rain over the northeast region has retained the daily rainfall figures without any deficiencies. According to the India Meteorological Department, east and northeast India received 100?ove normal at 42.8 millimetres since Sunday. However, central and southern regions received below-normal rains at 42% and 54%, respectively.
The varying pace of the monsoon is an in-built feature of intra-seasonal changes and monsoon 'hype and lull' go side by side during the four-month-long season, the weather agency said. "However, the striking feature is that the 'quiet' has hit at the start of the season, which is not very commonly observed." In the meantime, pre-monsoon activity over the northern mountains and plains and residual effect over Northeast India will substitute the daily monsoon rainfall without much shortfall, it said.
The southwest monsoon hit the coast of Kerala on May 24, eight days ahead of the normal onset of Jun. 1. This is the earliest onset of the monsoon since 2009, when it had hit Kerala on May 23. The monsoon hit Mumbai on May 26, much earlier than the normal onset date of Jun. 11.
The weather agency said a monsoon system is likely to form over the Bay of Bengal sometime next week. "A precursor cyclonic circulation will appear on Jun. 10. Consolidation and reorganisation will take another 48 hours." It forecasts the revival of monsoon to start from Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and travel deep over Maharashtra from Jun. 12-14. "Monsoon current will invigorate all along the west coast, covering Kerala, coastal Karnataka, Goa, and Konkan coast in a staggered manner." End
Reported by J. Navya Sruthi
Edited by Deepshikha Bhardwaj
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