Metal Stocks Outlook
Seen up next wk on hopes of better earnings ahead
This story was originally published at 20:50 IST on 21 February 2025
Register to read our real-time news.Informist, Friday, Feb. 21, 2024
MUMBAI – Shares of metal companies are seen higher amid hopes of better earnings and valuations as some stocks are at attractive levels after correction, analysts said. US President Donald Trump's proposal to impose 25% tariffs on steel is unlikely to have a direct impact on the metal sector as the Indian metal industry is not highly dependent on exports to the US market, they said.
Analysts are also positive on the metal sector in the near term as the December quarter earnings were not as bad as feared. Earnings were strong and resilient despite challenges, and even met consensus expectations and surpassed on some occasions owing to better volumes, an analyst tracking the metal sector, said. According to an analysis by Informist, the cumulative net profit, excluding exceptional items, of eight metal and mining companies in the Nifty 200 index rose 5% on year compared with analysts' expectation of a 7% fall.
"Valuations look quite attractive from the current levels ahead," the analyst said. The analyst believes this might be a good time to look towards metals as the negatives are mostly priced in.
Shares of metal companies have risen amid hopes of a safeguard from the government with some media reports saying an import duty of 15-25% on steel imports could come in six months. "The incremental import duty, if implemented could be a significant positive for the industry aiding steel prices, which in turn, will increase margins. The US imposing 25% tariffs on steel imports could also lead to countries like South Korea and Japan diverting their exports to India, further strengthening the case for import duty (hike)," JM Financial said in a research report.
At the current levels, companies such as Hindalco Industries, Vedanta, and NALCO are expected to generate upcycle profitability and returns, brokerage Emkay Global said in a research report. Spot aluminium prices are 3.3% above Emkay's forecast of $ 2,600 per tonne, resulting in an upside skew for these companies, the brokerage said.
Friday, the Nifty Metal index surged 1% and ended at its highest level in a month at 8609.7 points. The index extended its gains for the fifth straight session. The Nifty Metal rose 5.2% this week, as compared to a fall of 4.6% in the previous week. Shares of Hindalco Industries rose 7.8% and Steel Authority of India rose 6.7% during the week.
TOP HEADLINES
* Tata Steel acquires 1.91 bln shares of arm T Steel Holdings for $300 mln
* Tata Steel arm gets UK port body's approval to set up electric arc furnace
* PRESS: NALCO finalises INR 300-billion capex plan by FY30
* Analyst Concall: Hindalco Industries sees FY26 India capex INR 80 bln
Following are the resistance and support levels for the sector's key stocks for next week, as per calculations based on their prices on the National Stock Exchange:
| Company | Price | Week-on-week change in % | Resistance | Support |
| HINDALCO INDUSTRIES LTD | 653.55 | 7.80 | 667.50 | 631.00 |
| HINDUSTAN COPPER LTD | 222.52 | 3.70 | 233.70 | 215.80 |
| HINDUSTAN ZINC LTD | 426.65 | 2.40 | 435.80 | 415.50 |
| JINDAL STEEL & POWER LTD | 880.35 | 5.70 | 900.80 | 853.10 |
| JSW STEEL LTD | 981.90 | 1.80 | 998.20 | 967.40 |
| JINDAL STAINLESS LTD | 625.60 | 7.00 | 647.20 | 599.60 |
| NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO LTD | 201.01 | 10.70 | 209.00 | 188.10 |
| NMDC LTD | 67.73 | 9.40 | 69.20 | 65.60 |
| STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LTD | 112.76 | 6.70 | 118.60 | 105.80 |
| TATA STEEL LTD | 140.76 | 4.70 | 144.30 | 135.40 |
| VEDANTA LTD | 438.20 | 6.00 | 447.30 | 428.00 |
| NIFTY METAL | 8609.70 | 5.20 | 8747.20 | 8430.00 |
| NIFTY 50 | 22795.90 | (-)0.60 | 23013.10 | 22611.70 |
| BSE SENSEX | 75311.06 | (-)0.80 | 76027.00 | 74754.40 |
End
US$1 = INR 86.71
Reported by Akshita Kumar
Edited by Saji George Titus
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