IMD sees below normal rainfall in February, 81% of long-period average
This story was originally published at 20:06 IST on 31 January 2025
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--IMD: India Jan rainfall at 4.6 mm, 72% below normal
--IMD: East, northeast India Jan rainfall at 7.3 mm, 55.4% below normal
--IMD: Northwest India Jan rainfall at 6.3 mm, 80.6% below normal
--IMD: South peninsular India Jan rainfall at 7.2 mm, 4.7% below normal
--IMD: Central India Jan rainfall at 0.3 mm, 96.1% below normal
--IMD: India rainfall in Jan fourth lowest since 1901
--IMD: Most delayed northeast rainfall withdrawal since 1990
--IMD: Weak La Nina conditions expected to persist through Feb-Apr
--IMD: El Nino-Southern Oscillation neutral conditions likely in May-Sept
--IMD: Neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions likely during Feb-Mar
--IMD: India Feb rainfall seen below 81% of long period average
--IMD: Above normal minimum temperatures seen over India in Feb
--IMD: Normal to above normal maximum temperatures seen over India in Feb
--IMD: Below-normal cold wave days likely over plains of northwest India
MUMBAI – The India Meteorological Department has predicted that rainfall across the country in February will be below normal, reaching 81% of the long-period average. In north India, the rainfall is expected to be below normal at 78% of the long-period average.
Based on data from 1971-2020, the long-period average of rainfall for February in north India and the country as a whole is 65.0 mm and 22.7 mm, respectively. "Below-normal rainfall is likely over most parts of the country except some parts of west central India and south peninsular India, and some regions of northwest India, where normal to above-normal rainfall is likely," the weather department said.
Minimum temperatures in February are predicted to be above normal in many regions of the country, except for parts of northwest India and south peninsular India, where temperatures are expected to be normal. The department said below normal cold wave days are also likely over the plains of northwest India.
Maximum temperatures are likely to be normal to above normal in most parts of India, except in some areas of west-central India and southern peninsular India, where below-normal maximum temperatures are anticipated.
According to the weather bureau, while the northwest monsoon began on time, its withdrawal was the most delayed since 1990. The northeast monsoon officially ended Monday, the weather department said.
The department said weak La Nina conditions are expected to prevail from February to March, followed by a transition to El Nino-Southern Oscillation neutral conditions, which will last from May to September. The El Nino-Southern Oscillation refers to the periodic fluctuation between El Nino and La Nina in the Pacific Ocean. El Nino brings drier conditions to India, while La Nina brings good rainfall.
The India Meteorological Department said neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions are likely to prevail during February and March. The Indian Ocean Dipole is the difference in sea surface temperatures in the western and eastern tropical Indian Ocean.
According to the weather agency, January's rainfall was recorded at 4.6 mm, which is 72% below normal. This marks the fourth-lowest January rainfall since 1901 and the third-lowest since 2001.
In southern peninsular India, rainfall for January was recorded at 7.2 mm, 4.7% below normal. Central India received just 0.3 mm, a staggering 96.1% below the average. East and northeast India received 7.3 mm of rainfall, 55.4% below normal, and the northwest region recorded 6.3 mm, 80.6% below the usual amount, the meteorological department said. End
Reported by Shreya Shetty and Anjali Lavania
Edited by Subhojit Sarkar
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