Pharma Stocks Outlook
May gain on defensive play in risk-averse market
This story was originally published at 19:05 IST on 20 December 2024
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MUMBAI – Pharmaceutical stocks could continue to gain the favour of equity investors next week, at a time when global macroeconomic worries are keeping risk-appetite low across financial markets, according to analysts. The Nifty Pharma index has gained 1.6% this week, compared with a near 5% fall in the benchmark Nifty 50.
The defensive nature of their business as well as expectation that diversification of supply chains of large pharmaceutical companies away from China will benefit Indian players, could make the pharmaceutical sector an attractive bet, especially after the recent sell-off seen in some stocks, said the head of retail research at a broking house. Strong demand for initial public offerings of pharmaceutical companies in recent times also signals positive sentiment for the sector, he added.
The Indian pharmaceutical market has grown by 8% in the year 2024 and has shown a healthy five-year compounded annual growth of 10.4%, according to Pharmarack Technologies. This growth was driven by new launches and price increases, the research firm said in a report on Thursday.
For the next 12 months, Pharmarack expects the 8% growth rate of the Indian pharmaceutical industry to sustain, on a moving annual total basis. The Indian pharmaceutical market's revenue grew by 9.9% in November, driven by strong sales of cardiovascular, urological, and gastro-intestinal drugs.
While the Indian business is seen healthy, the US operations of Indian drugmakers could face near-term headwinds, including regulatory issues at some manufacturing facilities, delays in new launches, policy changes under President-elect Donald Trump's administration and rising costs, experts have warned. However, the overall pipeline of companies, and investments being made for innovation, place India in an advantageous position to grab market share from China, they added.
Churn within the sector is expected to continue, believe analysts, with the companies having complex and specialty drugs in their portfolio being preferred, along with contract manufacturing and development firms.
TOP HEADLINES
* Alembic Pharma gets US FDA final approval for Divalproex sodium capsules
* Mankind Pharma raises INR 30 bln through QIP at INR 2,520 per share
* IPO Alert: Senores Pharma raises INR 2.61 bln from anchor investors
* Zydus Life gets US FDA final nod to produce Lidocaine and Prilocaine cream
* Lupin gets US FDA nod for HIV infection drug; generic to be made in Nagpur
* Glenmark Pharma buys 34% stake in O2 Renewable Energy XXIV for INR 19.9 mln
* IPO Alert: Sai Life Sciences ends 39.3% higher at INR 764.65 on listing day
* IPO Alert: Sai Life Sciences to list Wed; issue price INR 549 per share
* Alembic Pharma issues corporate guarantees of $10 mln for Chile-based arm
* Alkem Labs, arm to buy 26% stake in Sunsure Solarpark for captive power
* Aurobindo Pharma arm's unit gets 2 procedural observations from US FDA
* Granules India arm gets US FDA nod for Lisdexamfetamine Dimesylate tablets
* Sun Pharma Advanced to license pre-oncology asset to US' Tiller Therapeutics
* Mankind Pharma to raise INR 30 bln via QIP, floor price at INR 2,616.55/shr
* Sridhar Kadangode resigns as Abbott India CFO effective Feb 26
* Zydus Life's arm sells its 6.5% stake in Mylab Discovery mos after buying it
* Caplin Point arm gets US FDA final nod for Difluprednate Opthalmic Emulsion
* European Medicines Agency recommends approval for Biocon arms' YESINTEK
* Senores Pharma cuts its OFS issue size to 2.1 mln shrs; issue opens Friday
* Glenmark Pharma's US arm launches lacosamide oral solution
* IPO Alert: Sai Life Sciences issue subscribed 10.26 times as of Day 3
* European drug panel recommends permit to mkt Aurobindo Pharma arm's Zefylti
* Lupin acquires 3 anti-diabetes trademarks from Boehringer Ingelheim
Following are the resistance and support levels for the sector's key stocks for next week, as per calculations based on their prices on the National Stock Exchange:
| Company | Price | Week-on-Week Change in % | Resistance | Support |
| Abbott India | 28655.35 | 0.00 | 29509.30 | 28074.10 |
| Alkem Laboratories | 5427.50 | 1.00 | 5597.00 | 5320.10 |
| Aurobindo Pharma | 1241.70 | 2.80 | 1290.50 | 1211.30 |
| Biocon | 335.95 | (-)4.80 | 357.00 | 324.70 |
| Cipla | 1472.05 | 1.70 | 1520.10 | 1445.00 |
| Divi's Laboratories | 5846.75 | (-)0.50 | 6031.90 | 5697.40 |
| Dr Reddy's Laboratories | 1343.65 | 7.80 | 1394.60 | 1292.00 |
| Gland Pharma | 1772.30 | 1.40 | 1807.20 | 1747.60 |
| GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals | 2275.95 | 1.00 | 2351.10 | 2226.50 |
| Glenmark Pharmaceuticals | 1541.65 | 1.60 | 1574.80 | 1513.50 |
| Granules India | 592.40 | 1.30 | 620.80 | 575.80 |
| Ipca Laboratories | 1582.50 | 3.20 | 1630.70 | 1553.90 |
| Laurus Labs | 559.20 | (-)2.50 | 582.20 | 544.80 |
| Lupin | 2150.70 | 3.60 | 2195.00 | 2116.30 |
| Natco Pharma | 1416.95 | (-)1.70 | 1508.00 | 1364.50 |
| Pfizer | 4669.95 | (-)7.10 | 5230.00 | 4321.00 |
| Sanofi India | 6162.00 | (-)0.90 | 6300.70 | 6000.70 |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries | 1808.85 | (-)0.30 | 1841.50 | 1777.80 |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals | 3437.00 | 2.70 | 3551.90 | 3364.00 |
| Zydus Lifesciences | 973.50 | (-)0.50 | 998.90 | 957.60 |
| Nifty Pharma | 22501.85 | 1.60 | 22920.30 | 22243.20 |
| Nifty 50 | 23587.50 | (-)4.80 | 24258.70 | 23201.80 |
| S&P Bse Sensex | 78041.59 | (-)5.00 | 80213.70 | 76788.60 |
End
Reported by Apoorva Choubey
Edited by Akul Nishant Akhoury
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