Climate Report
APEC Climate Centre sees 60% chance of La Nina conditions during Jan-Mar
This story was originally published at 11:20 IST on 17 December 2024
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MUMBAI – The APCC El Nino–Southern Oscillation is in the 'La Nina Watch' range, suggesting that La Nina conditions are likely to emerge during January and March, the APEC Climate Centre said in a report on Monday. According to the centre, there is a 60% chance of La Nina during the said period.
After March, conditions are likely to transition to the El Nino–Southern Oscillation 'neutral' range for the remaining forecast period, the report said. The forecast period given by the climate centre is from January to June.
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation is the oscillation between El Nino and La Nina states in the Pacific Ocean. El Nino is associated with a drier climate over India, while La Nina brings good rainfall.
Sea surface temperature anomalies are expected to be negative for the equatorial Pacific Ocean during January to June, with its intensity diminishing over time. A negative anomaly refers to cooler than average temperatures on the ocean's surface.
The climate centre predicts a strongly enhanced probability of above temperatures for most of the globe, except for the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean during the forecast period. Moreover, a strongly enhanced probability for below normal precipitation is also likely for the western equatorial Pacific Ocean for the given period. End
Reported by Shreya Shetty
Edited by Deepshikha Bhardwaj
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