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Informist, Monday, Dec. 2, 2024

MUMBAI – The India Meteorological Department said monthly minimum temperatures are most likely to be above normal over most parts of the country in December. Monthly maximum temperatures in the month are also expected to be above normal over most parts of the country except some areas in central India, where normal temperatures are predicted, the weather bureau said.

In December, the occurrence of cold waves over the northwest, central, east, and northeast parts of the country is likely to be below normal, IMD said. 

Monthly rainfall over the south peninsular region is expected to be above normal, or more than 131% of the long period average in December, the agency said. The south peninsular region includes Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikkal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Rayalaseema, Kerala, Mahe and the south interior Karnataka. The long period average of rainfall is about 43.0 mm.

Monthly rainfall over the country as a whole during December is most likely to be above normal, or more than 121% of the long period average. The long period average of rainfall over the country during December is about 15.9 mm.

While above normal rainfall is most likely over most parts of peninsular India, west-central India, and some parts of east-central India and northeast India, normal to below normal rainfall is seen over most parts of north and northwest India, and many areas of east and northeast India, the bureau said.

For the upcoming winter season, which spans from December to February, the weather agency sees above normal minimum temperatures prevailing over most parts of the country. Similarly, above normal maximum temperatures are likely over most parts of the country during winter except most areas in south peninsular India, where normal to below normal maximum temperatures are likely, the agency said. 

The weather bureau expects below normal cold waves in most areas of the northwest, central, east, and northeast parts of the country during winter.

The weather department said that the El Nino-Southern Oscillation conditions are observed over the equatorial Pacific, and sea surface temperatures are below average in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. The forecast indicates a higher chance of La Nina conditions developing in winter, and further, an enhanced probability of La Nina conditions until early next year.

The Indian Ocean Dipole remains in neutral condition and above-average sea surface temperatures are currently seen across most of the Indian Ocean. The Monsoon Mission Coupled Forecasting System forecast suggests that the neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions are likely to continue for the next several months, the weather agency said. End

Reported by Shreya Shetty

Edited by Deepshikha Bhardwaj

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