Widening Surplus
Global copper surplus widens to 535,000 tn in Jan-Aug, output up 5.1% on yr
This story was originally published at 15:17 IST on 22 October 2024
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MUMBAI – Global production of refined copper rose 5.1% on year to 18.33 million tonnes in Jan-Aug, while consumption was up 2.5% at 17.8 million tonnes. This led to widening of surplus of the red metal to 535,000 tonnes in Jan-Aug from 75,000 tonnes in the same period last year, the International Copper Study Group said in a report on Tuesday.
The surplus in the copper market in August narrowed to 54,000 tonnes from 73,000 tonnes the previous month. Global refined production in August rose 0.2% from a month ago to 2.32 million tonnes, while consumption rose 1.1% to 2.27 million tonnes, the report said.
Production in China, the largest producer of refined copper, increased 6.5% on year in Jan-Aug due to commissioning and expansion of primary and secondary smelters and refineries, the report said. Production in the Democratic Republic of Congo rose 16% in Jan-Aug from a year ago due to continued ramp-up of new or expanded electrowinning plants, according to the report. China and Congo account for about 54% of the world's total refined copper production.
The output in Chile, another major producer, fell 7% in Jan-Aug from a year ago because of a decline in primary electrolytic and electrowinning production. Refined copper production rose 3.8% on year in Japan, the report showed. Global secondary production from scrap rose 4.6% on year to 3.1 million tonnes in the first eight months of the year.
Demand for copper from all countries, excluding China, in Jan-Aug is estimated to have risen 2% on year as weak demand in the European Union, Japan, and the US was offset by growth in a number of Asian, West Asian, and North African countries. Demand from China grew 2.7%, the study group said.
The average monthly global copper mine capacity is currently 2.37 million tonnes, against 2.28 million tonnes a year ago. During Jan-Aug, the mine utilisation rate fell to 78.3% from 80% a year ago, the group said.
Copper stocks at major exchanges rose 134% to 500,278 tonnes in September compared with stocks held at the end of December, the group said. On the London Metal Exchange, the average cash price rose 3.2% to $9,254.50 per tonne in September from $8,963.71 per tonne in August.
At 1355 IST, the most-active three-month copper contract on the LME was $9,618.00 per tonne, up 0.6% from the previous close. End
US$1 = INR 84.07
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Reported by Sandeep Sinha
Edited by Avishek Dutta
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