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EquityWireOil Stocks Outlook:PSU refiners seen up next wk on lower crude prices
Oil Stocks Outlook

PSU refiners seen up next wk on lower crude prices

This story was originally published at 22:10 IST on 27 September 2024
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Informist, Friday, Sep 27, 2024


MUMBAI - Shares of state-owned oil refining companies are likely to rise more in anticipation of weakness in crude oil prices, analysts tracking the sector said. They added that the market has not completely factored in the benefits of lower crude oil prices for oil marketing companies, which gives headroom for further upside, though sharp gains are unlikely. 

 

Crude oil prices fell after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies revised their demand outlook downward for 2024 and 2025. Reports said the world's largest crude exporter, Saudi Arabia, is willing to abandon its unofficial $100-per-barrel price target and increase production in December, even if it results in continued lower prices. At 2000 IST, Brent crude November contract traded on the Intercontinent Exchange was at $71.50 per bbl, compared to $75 a bbl a week ago. 

 

In the previous few quarters, the surge in crude oil prices, a key raw material used by refining companies, had hit oil marketing companies' refining margins and profits. In April, the geopolitical tension in West Asia had pushed crude oil prices above the $90-per-bbl mark, resulting in weak financial performance of Indian refiners.

 

Amid falling prices of crude oil, shares of Bharat Petroleum Corp hit its record high of 370.50 rupees on the National Stock Exchange and closed a whopping 6.4% higher, a rare price movement seen for Nifty 50 constituents. Shares of its peers, Hindustan Petroleum Corp and Indian Oil Corp, also closed higher. The Nifty Oil & Gas index closed 2.4% higher as the top sectoral gainer, with most constituents in the green. 


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Following are the resistance and support levels for the sector's key stocks for next week, as per calculations based on their prices on the National Stock Exchange:

CompanyPriceWeek-on-week
 change in % 
ResistanceSupport
Bharat Petroleum Corp367.3010.90385.50337.20
Hindustan Petroleum Corp437.959.80451.60414.40
Indian Oil Corp180.017.80186.70168.20
Oil & Natural Gas Corp297.203.80303.90286.40
Oil India586.754.30616.90542.90
Reliance Industries3052.352.703117.402951.50
     
Nifty 5026178.951.5026328.5026076.60
S&P BSE Sensex85571.851.2086178.6085171.20


End

 

US$1 = 83.70 rupees

IST, or Indian Standard Time, is five-and-a-half hours ahead of GMT


Reported by Anjana Therese Antony
Edited by Tanima Banerjee


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