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CommodityWireIndia Bullion: Gold prices rise on weak dollar, safe-haven demand
India Bullion

Gold prices rise on weak dollar, safe-haven demand

This story was originally published at 19:56 IST on 24 October 2024
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Informist, Thursday, Oct. 24, 2024

 

By Sandeep Sinha

 

MUMBAI – Futures contracts of gold rose on the Multi Commodity Exchange of India and COMEX Thursday because of weakness in the dollar, which makes commodities priced in the greenback cheaper for holders of other currencies. The positive sentiment was also supported by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty related to the upcoming US presidential election and geopolitical tensions in West Asia.

 

At 1832 IST, the dollar index, which measures the strength of the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was down 0.2% at 104.20. For further cues, investors await the US flash manufacturing purchasing managers' index and the flash services purchasing managers' index, due later in the day.

 

"Gold prices maintained a positive stance as the dollar remained muted near 104.40. After witnessing some selling pressure yesterday (Wednesday), which saw prices drop to INR 77,600, gold quickly rebounded to INR 78,350, posting a gain of 500 from yesterday's lows. This recovery highlights the strong underlying sentiment for gold, which continues to benefit from the broader macroeconomic environment, particularly as the US dollar stabilises," Jateen Trivedi, vice-president and research analyst at LKP Securities, said in a note.

 

At 1832 IST, the most-active December GOLD contract on the MCX was up 0.7% at INR 78,388 per 10 gm. The most-active December contract on COMEX was 0.8% higher at $2,751.50 per ounce. The highest call open interest for gold was at the INR 78,000 strike price, suggesting a bullish view. The highest put open interest was at the INR 75,000-INR 74,000 strike for the Nov. 26 gold contract.

 

However, further upside in the yellow metal was restricted by outflows in gold exchange-traded funds. On Wednesday, the gold holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed ETF, fell by 1.44 tonnes to 893.80 tonnes. The fund has a market value of $78.62 billion.

 

SILVER prices rose, taking cues from COMEX, and positive trends in gold and base metals. At 1832 IST, the most-active December contract of silver on the MCX was up 1.2% at INR 98,072 per kg. The same-month contract on COMEX was 1.2% higher at $34.25 per ounce.

 

The MCX Bulldex, an index that tracks the real-time performance of gold and silver futures on the MCX, was up 114 points at 19671 points. As of 1826 IST, the December and February gold contracts recorded turnovers of INR 22.05 billion and INR 1.80 billion, respectively, on the MCX. The December and March silver contracts saw turnovers of INR 27.79 billion and INR 1.37 billion, respectively.

 

The spot gold-silver ratio, also known as the Mint ratio, rose to 80.43, indicating that gold had outperformed silver. The ratio measures the ounces of silver required to buy an ounce of gold. The ratio was 80.37 on Wednesday.

 

Outlook for the rest of the session:

--MCX gold seen at INR 78,000–INR 78,800 per 10 gm

--COMEX gold seen at $2,704.00–$2,762.00 an ounce

--MCX silver seen at INR 97,800-INR 99,800 per kg

--COMEX silver seen at $33.40-$34.80 an ounce

 

End

US$1 = INR 84.07

IST, or Indian Standard Time, is five-and-a-half hours ahead of GMT

 

Edited by Tanima Banerjee

 

 

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